Are there other leaks/rumors/tidbits that could swing the Jack What A Wonderful Nightmare shirt? – Nothing here yet. The only pseudo piece of information is that Peach’s Toad counter is still around. I don’t know if that is a good thing or bad thing for Captain Toad’s chances, but it kills regular Toad rumors pretty well. I’m also intrigued about why New Donk City hasn’t been formally announced as a stage in SSBU, when I think we’re all pretty convinced it will be there. Possibly waiting for a character announcement to coincide the stage release. Just spitballing here.
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This is a similar situation to Bandana Dee, where you have a specific character representing a generic, reoccurring species. You would consider a Koopa or a Shy Guy, much like you wouldn’t consider just a Toad. However, Captain Toad is a specific character that has seen a lot of love from the Jack What A Wonderful Nightmare shirt. I don’t think it’s a question of if Captain Toad will make it into Smash, but can Sakurai be able to make Captain Toad a viable character in the game. He has the prestige for the game though. I would be curious to see how he would work.